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It's Your Money, by George!

The Trading Game


October 10, 1999. It seems that the more you listen to these stock market gurus, the more you're headed to the booby hatch. Listen to some of them: Dec. 15, 1998: "I think that the markets will be a down year by the end of 1999, your looking at a Dow at 7500." Dec. 30,1998: "The Dow will be at 1450 at the end of 1999." Jan. 2, 1998: "I'm looking at the next bear market by year end to be at 6000 or lower."

Even though we are in a bull market, you are still getting market mavens predicting a huge up side or a big crash that will affect the stock market for the next two or three years.

What I'm saying is that the market will continue for the long term with a few market declines here and there. It doesn't pay to time the market as long you can sweat it out for several years. Purchase stocks that have a future and are growing in leaps and bounds and have a high quality of earnings growth.

A reader wrote that he is not making any money, even though there are good stocks in his portfolio. Well John, welcome to the group. Very few are making big gains because we have been in a trading range since about August 1998. It will continue for at least a couple more months and then it is going to change for the better.

When my mutual is 5% year to date, you know that the big time traders are working their best to try and beat the market. That's why in an earlier article I mention that traders were trying to make a killing on a few dozen trades a day and then you had mutual funds trying to do the same. You end up paying the piper with turnovers. Is there justice? Not when it comes to money.

Another factor that has traders working at full blast is that Mr. Greenspan does not want the markets to get ahead of themselves. So he is keeping them on an even keel because of the recurrence of inflation. Greenspan wants the markets to remain flat and in a "trading range." See what I mean?

What should an investor buy now that we are in a trading range? Nothing, unless you have been reading my articles. I will never make a short term trade on this page. I do not believe in them.

I want to thank the many readers who have sent email, so let the mail come in and I'll try my best to answer as many as possible.


George

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Resources
Online Investing - Online Investing is a wonderful guide for using the Internet to find, research, and buy winning stocks. Jon D. Markman, managing editor at MSN MoneyCentral Investor, writes that the Internet makes it easy to build a highly profitable portfolio.
Full Steam Ahead - How long can this bull market last? Find out in this article by George.
 
 
Our editorial goal is to provide a forum for investment ideas. Our articles, columns, and other features should not be construed as investment advice, nor does their appearance imply an endorsement by Kolias & Co of any specific security or trading strategy. An investor's best course of action must be based on individual circumstances. 
 

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